Comments on: Tropical Disturbance Near Northern Yucatan a Gulf Threat?

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I went back through the Atlantic hurricane database and identified all hurricanes which actually formed in the Gulf of Mexico since 1940. As you can see in the image below, there were quite a few hurricanes which actually developed inside the Gulf of Mexico, many of which just a day or two from making landfall somewhere in Mexico or along the northern Gulf Coast. Such close-in developments leave very little time for preparations. And although the disturbance is clearly advertised as one with a 30% chance of developing, most companies are reluctant to activate their hurricane plans until the disturbance does indeed develop and get a name.

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